Economic Calendar — 经济日历 & 宏观数据
Track important economic releases and their potential market impact across global markets. Covers data schedules, consensus expectations, and trading implications.
Key Data Sources
1. China Economic Data (国家统计局)
# Recent China economic indicators
curl -s "https://data.stats.gov.cn/easyquery.htm?m=QueryData&dbcode=hgnd&rowcode=zb&colcode=sj&wds=[]&dfwds=[]"
Key indicators:
| Indicator | Frequency | Impact | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| GDP (国内生产总值) | 季度 | 🔴高 | 股指/商品 |
| CPI (居民消费价格指数) | 月度 | 🔴高 | 国债 |
| PPI (工业生产者出厂价格) | 月度 | 🟡中 | 商品 |
| PMI (制造业采购经理指数) | 月度 | 🔴高 | 股指/商品 |
| Industrial Production (工业增加值) | 月度 | 🟡中 | 商品 |
| Retail Sales (社会消费品零售总额) | 月度 | 🟡中 | 股指 |
| Fixed Asset Investment (固定资产投资) | 月度 | 🟡中 | 商品 |
| Loan Prime Rate (LPR) | 每月20日 | 🟡中 | 国债/汇率 |
2. US Economic Data
# Federal Reserve economic data
curl -s "https://www.federalreserve.gov/datadownload/Output.aspx?rel=H15&series=bcb44e57fb57efbe90002369321bfb3f&lastobs=&from=&to=&filetype=csv"
Key indicators:
| Indicator | Schedule | Impact | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Non-Farm Payrolls (非农) | 每月第一个周五 20:30 | 🔴高 | 所有市场 |
| CPI (消费者物价指数) | 月度 20:30 | 🔴高 | 债券/美元 |
| PCE (核心个人消费支出) | 月度 20:30 | 🔴高 | 美联储预期 |
| FOMC Rate Decision | 每6周 02:00 | 🔴高 | 所有市场 |
| Initial Jobless Claims | 每周四 20:30 | 🟢低 | 短期波动 |
| GDP (季度) | 季度 20:30 | 🔴高 | 股市/美元 |
| Retail Sales | 月度 20:30 | 🟡中 | 消费股 |
3. EU & Other Regions
Eurozone: ECB rate decisions, CPI, GDP, PMI (Markit) Japan: BOJ rate decisions, CPI, Tankan survey UK: BOE rate decisions, CPI, GDP, employment
Market Impact Guide
| Impact | Typical Move | Trading Strategy |
|---|---|---|
| 🔴 High | 0.5-2% | Wait 30s for initial spike, trade the retrace |
| 🟡 Medium | 0.2-0.5% | Trade the breakout with tight stops |
| 🟢 Low | <0.2% | Ignore or trade mean reversion |
Format Output
Daily Calendar
📅 今日经济数据 (2026-05-22)
🇨🇳 中国
时间 数据 预期 前值 影响
09:30 5月LPR 1年期 3.45% 3.45% 🟡
09:30 5月LPR 5年期 3.85% 3.85% 🟡
🇺🇸 美国
20:30 初请失业金 23.5万 22.8万 🟢
22:00 4月成屋销售 420万 419万 🟡
22:30 EIA天然气库存 +80B +76B 🟢
🇪🇺 欧元区
17:00 5月消费者信心 -14.0 -14.7 🟡
🏦 央行事件
02:00 FOMC 5月会议纪要公布 🟡
Weekly Preview
📅 本周重要事件 (2026-05-18 ~ 2026-05-24)
🔥 重点关注
• 周三 02:00 FOMC 5月会议纪要 — 关注缩表信号
• 周四 09:30 中国5月LPR — 是否降息？
• 周五 20:30 美国4月核心PCE — 通胀风向标
📊 市场预期
• 美联储6月加息概率: 15%
• 中国LPR降息概率: 30%
Trading Tips
- Before the data: Reduce position size by 50%, widen stops by 2x
- At the release: DO NOT trade the first 30 seconds (liquidity hole + spreads widen)
- After the data: Wait for the 5-minute candle to confirm direction
- Key principle: "Buy the rumor, sell the news" — price often reverses after the initial spike
- Correlation: Strong NFP → USD up → Gold down → BTC down (risk-off)
- Event clusters: Multiple releases at same time = extra volatility (trade smaller)
Data Timings (GMT+8)
| Time | Release Region | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 07:50 | 🇯🇵 Japan | BOJ data |
| 09:30 | 🇨🇳 China | Official data |
| 14:00 | 🇩🇪 Germany | Industrial data |
| 15:00-17:00 | 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Various |
| 20:30 | 🇺🇸 US | Main batch |
| 22:00-23:00 | 🇺🇸 US | Late data |
| 02:00 (next day) | 🇺🇸 US | FOMC days |