NSO Macro Monitor (Web Workflow)

Use this skill when the user asks for official macro updates from Vietnam's NSO.

Data source

• Primary page: https://www.nso.gov.vn/bao-cao-tinh-hinh-kinh-te-xa-hoi-hang-thang

Requirements and fallback behavior

• Requires web access to the canonical NSO release page and linked report pages or PDFs.
• Prefer canonical NSO URLs over reposted summaries.
• If report text or PDF extraction is unavailable, continue with accessible NSO metadata, set confidence to Low or Medium based on missing indicator blocks, and list the missing items.
• Do not write Python for this skill unless explicitly requested.

Execution workflow

1. Fetch the NSO listing page and extract latest report links.
2. Open the latest monthly/quarterly report page (and linked PDF if available).
3. Extract key macro blocks: growth, inflation, industrial production, trade, credit, retail, FDI.
4. Identify the same period in the previous year.
5. Build a same-period comparison table.
6. Produce a concise sector-impact summary for Vietnam equities.

Data quality gate (required)

Run this gate before publishing:

1. Freshness: include release date and extraction time in ICT (UTC+7).
2. Coverage: confirm both summary page and report/PDF were attempted.
3. Completeness: report missing indicator blocks explicitly (GDP/CPI/IIP/trade/retail/FDI/credit).
4. De-duplication: if multiple reposts of same NSO release exist, keep canonical NSO URL.
5. Claim tagging: mark statements as Fact (from NSO) vs Inference (sector impact mapping).

Shared confidence rubric (required)

Apply this common standard:

• High: canonical NSO release retrieved, key indicator blocks mostly complete, and dates clearly mapped to same period comparison.
• Medium: release retrieved but some indicator blocks or historical comparators are missing.
• Low: release not fully accessible (or PDF/text extraction fails materially) and only partial directional summary is possible.

Always output confidence with:

1. Release date + extraction timestamp (ICT UTC+7).
2. Completed vs missing indicator blocks.
3. Exact missing items that could alter sector interpretation.

Output format (required)

• Section 1: Latest NSO release metadata (title, date, URL).
• Section 2: Key indicators table (current vs prior-period vs YoY direction).
• Section 3: Sector implications (banks, real estate, export, energy, consumer, industrials).
• Section 4: Confidence and data gaps.

Watchlist mode (optional)

If the user provides an ACTIVE_WATCHLIST, add Section 3b:

• Watchlist Impact Map: map each ticker to the most relevant NSO indicators (Fact) and the transmission channel (Inference).
• Provide 1–2 monitoring triggers per ticker and a confidence tag.

Do not output absolute buy/sell instructions.

Trigger examples

• "Fetch the latest NSO report and compare to the same period last year."
• "Summarize the latest NSO macro release for Vietnam equities."
• "What changed in CPI, trade, and industrial production versus last year?"

Quality rules

• Separate facts from interpretation.
• Cite URLs for every key claim.
• If PDF parsing fails, state it explicitly and continue with accessible text.
• Never fabricate missing statistics.
• If key blocks are missing, downgrade confidence and state what to verify later.