Insurance Actuarial Python

核心功能为用奇异谱分析分解利率时间序列，平稳自助法开展统计推断，构建NSS曲线模型校准利率衍生品参数。典型场景包括利率时序模式识别、利率互换置信区间估算等。需输入目标市场、数据源、时间范围等信息，输出分析结果与模型参数，适配Doramagic生态，要求Python3.12+及uv包管理器。

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热度 50.22

最近更新 2026-05-11 17:45:19

分类：数据依赖：代码执行 / 读写文件 / 第三方 API应用场景：财务 / 数据处理 / 报告撰写

安装技能

复制下面的话术发给你的 Agent，它会通过 secure-skills 检索并安装该技能。

执行命令安装此 skill： npx secure-skills-cli add insurance-actuarial-python

Metadata

name: insurance-actuarial-python
description: 使用奇异谱分析和平稳自助法对利率时间序列进行分解与统计推断，构建 NSS 曲线模型并校准利率衍生品参数。
license: Proprietary. See LICENSE.txt in project root.
compatibility: Designed for Doramagic-host ecosystem (Claude Code / openclaw / Cursor). Requires Python 3.12+ with uv package manager.
metadata: {"version":"v6.1","blueprint_id":"finance-bp-064","compiled_at":"2026-04-22T13:00:20.990803+00:00","capability_markets":"global","capability_activities":"insurance-actuarial","sop_version":"crystal-compilation-v6.1"}

保险精算建模 (insurance-actuarial-python)

使用奇异谱分析和平稳自助法对利率时间序列进行分解与统计推断，构建 NSS 曲线模型并校准利率衍生品参数。

Pipeline

data_collection -> data_storage -> factor_computation -> target_selection -> trading_execution -> visualization

Top Use Cases (2 total)

Singular Spectrum Analysis Time Series Decomposition (`UC-101`)

Decomposes time series data into interpretable components (trend, seasonality, noise) using Singular Spectrum Analysis to identify underlying patterns Triggers: SSA, singular spectrum analysis, time series decomposition

Stationary Bootstrap for Interest Rate Swap Inference (`UC-102`)

Applies stationary bootstrap resampling method to Italian swap rate data for statistical inference, enabling confidence interval estimation and hypoth Triggers: stationary bootstrap, swap rates, resampling

Execute trigger: When user intent matches intent_router.uc_entries[].positive_terms AND user uses action verb (run/execute/跑/执行/backtest/fetch/collect)

What I'll Ask You

Target market: A-share (default), HK, or crypto? (US stocks in ZVT are half-baked — stockus_nasdaq_AAPL exists but coverage is thin)
Data source / provider: eastmoney (free, no account), joinquant (account+paid), baostock (free, good history), akshare, or qmt (broker)?
Strategy type: MACD golden-cross, MA crossover, volume breakout, fundamental screen, or custom factor?
Time range: start_timestamp and end_timestamp for backtest period
Target entity IDs: specific stocks (stock_sh_600000) or index components (SZ1000)?

Semantic Locks (Fatal)

ID	Rule	On Violation
`SL-01`	Execute sell orders before buy orders in every trading cycle	halt
`SL-02`	Trading signals MUST use next-bar execution (no look-ahead)	halt
`SL-03`	Entity IDs MUST follow format entity_type_exchange_code	halt
`SL-04`	DataFrame index MUST be MultiIndex (entity_id, timestamp)	halt
`SL-05`	TradingSignal MUST have EXACTLY ONE of: position_pct, order_money, order_amount	halt
`SL-06`	filter_result column semantics: True=BUY, False=SELL, None/NaN=NO ACTION	halt
`SL-07`	Transformer MUST run BEFORE Accumulator in factor pipeline	halt
`SL-08`	MACD parameters locked: fast=12, slow=26, signal=9	halt

Full lock definitions: references/LOCKS.md

Top Anti-Patterns (15 total)

AP-INSURANCE-001: Implicit numeric format assumptions without validation
AP-INSURANCE-002: Triangle axis construction with invalid temporal ordering
AP-INSURANCE-003: Cumulative/incremental triangle representation misuse

All 15 anti-patterns: references/ANTI_PATTERNS.md

Evidence Quality Notice

[QUALITY NOTICE] This crystal was compiled from blueprint finance-bp-064. Evidence verify ratio = 11.6% and audit fail total = 40. Generated results may have uncaptured requirement gaps. Verify critical decisions against source files (LATEST.yaml / LATEST.jsonl).

Reference Files

File	Contents	When to Load
references/seed.yaml	V6+ 全量权威 (source-of-truth)	有行为/决策争议时必读
references/ANTI_PATTERNS.md	15 条跨项目反模式	开始实现前
references/WISDOM.md	跨项目精华借鉴	架构决策时
references/CONSTRAINTS.md	domain + fatal 约束	规则冲突时
references/USE_CASES.md	全量 KUC-* 业务场景	需要完整示例时
references/LOCKS.md	SL-* + preconditions + hints	生成回测/交易代码前
references/COMPONENTS.md	AST 组件地图（按 module 拆分）	查 API 时

Compiled by Doramagic crystal-compilation-v6.1 from finance-bp-064 blueprint at 2026-04-22T13:00:20.990803+00:00. See human_summary.md for non-technical overview.