Polymarket Edge Detector

核心功能：对比Polymarket二元合约价格与外部参考概率（ polls、模型等），识别错价合约，按边缘、流动性、时间分辨率等维度打分，挖掘+EV交易机会。典型场景：寻找+EV bets、对比市场与外部数据、追踪边缘衰减、按品类（政治/体育/加密）筛选市场。通过bash命令调用，输出含市场信息、边缘值、信号等的JSON，支持离线模拟与API调用，服务预测市场交易者、体育投注者及DeFi量化人员。

ssidharhubble

热度 16.31

最近更新 2026-07-12 11:59:21

分类：数据依赖：代码执行 / 第三方 API应用场景：市场分析 / 财务 / 数据处理

安装技能

复制下面的话术发给你的 Agent，它会通过 secure-skills 检索并安装该技能。

执行命令安装此 skill： npx secure-skills-cli add polymarket-edge-detector

Metadata

name: polymarket-edge-detector
description: Polymarket prediction market edge detector. Compares Polymarket binary-option prices against external reference probabilities (polls, prediction APIs, market-implied odds) to find mispriced contracts. Scores markets by edge, liquidity, time-to-resolution, and historical accuracy. Surfaces +EV bets for political, sports, and crypto price markets. Built for prediction market traders, sports bettors crossing over to prediction markets, and DeFi quants looking for Sharpe outside pure trading.
compatibility: Created for Zo Computer
metadata: {"author":"ssyopros.zo.computer"}
allowed-tools: Bash

Polymarket Edge Detector

Find mispriced binary contracts on Polymarket. Compares market price to an external reference probability and surfaces +EV setups with liquidity, time-to-resolution, and confidence scoring.

When to use

User wants to find +EV Polymarket bets
Comparing a market's price to a poll or external model
Hunting low-liquidity markets where a thin order book misprices
Tracking edge decay over time as resolution approaches
Screening markets by category (politics, sports, crypto)

Commands

python3 scripts/edge_detector.py scan            # All open markets, ranked by edge
python3 scripts/edge_detector.py scan --category politics
python3 scripts/edge_detector.py market <slug>   # Single market deep-dive
python3 scripts/edge_detector.py watch           # Stream prices, alert on edge>5%
python3 scripts/edge_detector.py resolve <id>    # Mark resolution, track accuracy

Output

JSON with: market_id, question, category, yes_price, no_price, reference_prob, edge_pct, implied_odds, liquidity_usd, days_to_resolution, edge_decay_pct, signal (BUY_YES, BUY_NO, PASS), and a confidence score 0-100.

Environment

POLY_API_URL - Polymarket CLOB endpoint (default: https://clob.polymarket.com)
EDGE_THRESHOLD_PCT - Minimum edge to surface (default: 3.0)
REFERENCE_SOURCE - which external probability to use: poll, model, market_implied (default: market_implied)
Works with mock data offline; production uses Polymarket's public CLOB API