Polymarket Research
Get a structured research snapshot for any Polymarket topic. Returns market probabilities, volume across time windows, and the top holders (largest positions) per outcome. Read-only — no trades, no wallet needed.
This is a template. The default output is a research snapshot — remix it to feed into your own trading logic, dashboard, or analysis pipeline. The skill handles market discovery and data retrieval. Your agent decides what to do with the signal.
Setup
pip install simmer-sdk
export SIMMER_API_KEY="sk_live_..."
Quick start
python research.py "bitcoin price"
python research.py "us election" --top-holders 20
python research.py "weather" --min-volume 100000
What you get
For each matching market:
| Field | Source |
|---|---|
| Question, status, resolution date | Simmer SDK |
| YES/NO probability | Simmer SDK (synced from Polymarket CLOB) |
| 24h volume | Simmer SDK |
| Top holders per outcome | Polymarket data API (free, no auth) |
| Edge analysis vs AI price | Simmer SDK context endpoint |
Configuration
| Parameter | Env var | Default | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| Search query | (CLI arg) | required | Topic to search for |
| Min volume | SIMMER_RESEARCH_MIN_VOLUME |
10000 | Skip markets below this 24h volume |
| Max results | SIMMER_RESEARCH_MAX_RESULTS |
5 | Markets to return |
| Top holders | SIMMER_RESEARCH_TOP_HOLDERS |
10 | Holders per outcome |
Example output
=== Bitcoin Price Markets ===
1. Will BTC hit $150k by end of 2026?
YES: 32.5% | NO: 67.5%
Volume (24h): $284,102
Resolves: 2026-12-31
Top holders (YES):
Gabagool22: 142,301 shares
xuanxuan008: 89,442 shares
marketing101: 67,221 shares
Top holders (NO):
0xe1d6...907: 203,112 shares
sharky6999: 156,004 shares
Troubleshooting
- No markets found: try broader search terms or lower
--min-volume - No top holders: market may be new or have low participation; the holders endpoint returns empty for very new markets
- Timeout on holders: the Polymarket data API is occasionally slow; the skill retries once with a 10s timeout