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Neckr0ik Polymarket Paper

该 Skill 通过命令行提供 Polymarket 预测市场模拟交易:用虚拟资金创建账户、查看市场行情、按 YES/NO 下模拟单、查看持仓与绩效指标、参与排行榜,并支持导出交易记录与查看分析;同时附策略示例和练习场景,供投入真实资金前练习。

neckr0ik
neckr0ik
热度 80.32
最近更新 2026-05-11 17:29:17
分类:知识依赖:代码执行 / 第三方 API / 读写文件应用场景:财务 / 市场分析 / 教学辅导

安装技能

复制下面的话术发给你的 Agent,它会通过 secure-skills 检索并安装该技能。

执行命令安装此 skill: npx secure-skills-cli add neckr0ik-polymarket-paper
Metadata
name
neckr0ik-polymarket-paper
version
1.0.0
description
Paper trading platform for Polymarket. Practice prediction market trading with virtual money, learn strategies, track performance, and compete on leaderboards. Use for training before risking real capital.

Polymarket Paper Trading

Practice Polymarket trading with virtual money. Learn strategies. Compete on leaderboards.

Quick Start

# Create account with $10,000 virtual
neckr0ik-polymarket-paper create-account --name "MyPortfolio"

# View available markets
neckr0ik-polymarket-paper markets --limit 20

# Place a trade
neckr0ik-polymarket-paper trade --market "will-bitcoin-reach-100k" --side YES --amount 500

# Check portfolio
neckr0ik-polymarket-paper portfolio

# View leaderboard
neckr0ik-polymarket-paper leaderboard --weekly

What This Does

  • Virtual trading — $10,000 practice account
  • Real market data — Live Polymarket prices
  • Simulated execution — Orders filled at market price
  • Performance tracking — Win rate, ROI, Sharpe ratio
  • Leaderboards — Compete with other paper traders
  • Strategy guides — Learn before risking real money

Account Types

Tier Virtual Cash Markets/Day Analytics
Free $10,000 5 Basic
Pro ($9/mo) $100,000 Unlimited Advanced
Team ($29/mo) Multiple accounts Unlimited Full

Commands

create-account

Create a paper trading account.

neckr0ik-polymarket-paper create-account [options]

Options:
  --name <name>        Account name
  --tier <tier>        Account tier (free, pro, team)
  --initial <amount>   Starting cash (default: 10000)

markets

View available Polymarket markets.

neckr0ik-polymarket-paper markets [options]

Options:
  --limit <n>         Max results (default: 20)
  --category <name>   Filter by category (crypto, politics, sports)
  --search <query>     Search by keyword

trade

Place a paper trade.

neckr0ik-polymarket-paper trade [options]

Options:
  --market <id>        Market ID or slug
  --side <side>        YES or NO
  --amount <dollars>   Amount to trade
  --limit <price>      Limit price (optional)

portfolio

View your portfolio.

neckr0ik-polymarket-paper portfolio [options]

Options:
  --history            Show transaction history
  --performance        Show performance metrics

resolve

Manually resolve a market (for practice).

neckr0ik-polymarket-paper resolve --market <id> --outcome <YES|NO>

leaderboard

View top paper traders.

neckr0ik-polymarket-paper leaderboard [options]

Options:
  --period <period>    weekly, monthly, all-time
  --strategy <type>    Filter by strategy

analytics

View detailed analytics.

neckr0ik-polymarket-paper analytics [options]

Options:
  --period <days>      Analysis period (default: 30)
  --strategy           Breakdown by strategy

export

Export your trading history.

neckr0ik-polymarket-paper export [options]

Options:
  --format <format>    csv, json
  --output <file>      Output file

Trading Strategies

1. Spread Arbitrage (Practice)

Buy both YES and NO when combined < $1.00.

Example:
Market: "Will Bitcoin hit $100k?"
YES: $0.48
NO: $0.50
Combined: $0.98

Trade: Buy $490 YES + $500 NO = $990 total
Guaranteed payout: $1,000
Profit: $10 (1.01%)

2. Endgame Trading

Buy near-certain outcomes close to resolution.

Example:
Market: "Will X happen by March 31?"
Current: March 28
YES price: $0.97
Days remaining: 3

Trade: Buy YES at $0.97
Hold until resolution at $1.00
Profit: 3.1% in 3 days (376% annualized)

3. News Correlation

Trade on news before market adjusts.

Example:
News: "Israel strikes Tehran. Trump demands surrender."
Market: "Will Trump declare war on Iran?" @ 40%

Analysis: Military action ≠ formal war declaration
Market likely overpriced
Trade: Sell YES (or buy NO)

Performance Metrics

Metric Description
Total PnL Total profit/loss
Win Rate % of trades profitable
Average Return Mean return per trade
Sharpe Ratio Risk-adjusted return
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough
Calmar Ratio Return / max drawdown

Leaderboard Categories

Category Ranking By
Overall Total PnL
ROI Return on investment
Win Rate % profitable trades
Sharpe Risk-adjusted return
Streak Longest win streak

Educational Content

Strategy Guides

  1. Spread Arbitrage 101 — Risk-free profit basics
  2. Endgame Trading — Near-certain outcomes
  3. News Correlation — Event-driven trading
  4. Risk Management — Position sizing, stop-losses
  5. Advanced Strategies — Cross-market, cross-platform

Practice Scenarios

  1. Scenario: Crypto Bull Run

    • Start with $50,000
    • Market: "Will BTC hit $150k by EOY?"
    • Learn: Position sizing, timing
  2. Scenario: Election Night

    • Start with $25,000
    • Markets: Multiple election outcomes
    • Learn: Hedging, correlation
  3. Scenario: Market Crash

    • Start with $100,000
    • Market: "Will S&P drop below 4000?"
    • Learn: Risk management, stop-losses

Example Session

$ neckr0ik-polymarket-paper create-account --name "Learning"
✓ Created account: Learning
  Virtual cash: $10,000

$ neckr0ik-polymarket-paper markets --search "bitcoin"
Found 5 markets:
  1. "Will Bitcoin hit $100k by EOY 2026?" YES: 0.45
  2. "Will Bitcoin drop below $50k?" NO: 0.65
  3. "Will Bitcoin be banned?" NO: 0.92
  ...

$ neckr0ik-polymarket-paper trade --market "bitcoin-100k" --side YES --amount 1000
✓ Trade executed
  Market: "Will Bitcoin hit $100k by EOY 2026?"
  Side: YES
  Amount: $1,000
  Price: $0.45
  Shares: 2,222.22
  Fee: $0.01

$ neckr0ik-polymarket-paper portfolio
Portfolio: Learning
Cash: $8,999.99
Positions:
  - "bitcoin-100k" YES: 2,222.22 shares @ $0.45 = $999.99
Total Value: $10,000.00 (0.00% return)

$ neckr0ik-polymarket-paper leaderboard --weekly
Weekly Leaderboard:
  1. @trader1: +15.2% ($1,520 profit)
  2. @trader2: +12.8% ($1,280 profit)
  3. @trader3: +10.5% ($1,050 profit)
  ...
  127. @Learning: 0.0% ($0 profit)

See Also

  • references/strategies.md — Detailed strategy guides
  • scripts/paper_trading.py — Main implementation
  • projects/polymarket-paper-trading/ — Full platform design