Market Brief
Consistent, decision-useful market analysis for crypto, equities, FX, or macro topics. Avoids shallow takes; emphasizes drivers, scenarios, uncertainty, and practical reads.
When to use
- ✅ Token / asset price analysis (swing trade or position sizing)
- ✅ Sector thesis (DeFi, L1s, RWA, fintech, etc.)
- ✅ Macro / rate / liquidity calls
- ✅ Project / protocol due diligence with a market angle
- ❌ Simple factual price lookup — just answer it
- ❌ Pure research without a market view — use
researcherinstead
Required output shape
Every brief follows this exact structure. Don't skip sections.
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TL;DR (1–3 lines)
- The actual call / position / view in plain language
- Conviction: high | medium | low
- Time horizon: days / weeks / months
-
Current state (≤5 lines)
- Price / level
- Recent action (last 1–4 weeks)
- Key on-chain or fundamental signals
- Cite sources inline (URL or source name)
-
Drivers (bullets)
- What's actually moving the asset
- Catalysts with rough timing
- Distinguish confirmed vs rumored
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Scenarios (table or structured bullets)
Scenario Drivers Target $ Probability Bull ... ... ... Base ... ... ... Bear ... ... ... -
Key uncertainty (≤3 bullets)
- What would invalidate the call
- What info would change the view
- Tail risks not in the base case
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Practical read (1–3 lines)
- What Daniel should actually do with this
- Position sizing suggestion if relevant
- Entry/exit triggers
Rules
- Distinguish verified vs inferred — separate what you confirmed from what you're guessing
- No "could maybe possibly" hedging — state the call, then qualify
- Cite sources for load-bearing claims (URL or named source)
- Use real numbers — specific price targets beat vague ranges
- Always include time horizon — different horizons change the call
- Admit when you don't have enough info — say so explicitly
- Don't manufacture confidence — if uncertainty is high, mark conviction low
Length
- Default: 250–400 words
- Deep-dive mode (when asked): 600–1000 words
- Always start with TL;DR — never bury the call
After the brief
If asked, follow up with:
- On-chain data check
- Funding rates / open interest
- Recent news flow
- Comparable asset analysis
