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Macro Economic Model

该 Skill 以文档与参考文件形式指导运行 ALM 资产负债管理模拟,生成组合收益、现金流报告与可视化,并用 Smith-Wilson 方法校准 EIOPA 风险自由收益率曲线用于债券定价;同时包含 ZVT 量化选股与回测的语义锁、反模式与用例说明,但未附带可执行脚本,两部分内容主题不一致。

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热度 48.29
最近更新 2026-05-11 17:45:19
分类:数据依赖:代码执行 / 第三方 API应用场景:财务 / 报告撰写 / 市场分析 / 数据处理

安装技能

复制下面的话术发给你的 Agent,它会通过 secure-skills 检索并安装该技能。

执行命令安装此 skill: npx secure-skills-cli add macro-economic-model
Metadata
name
macro-economic-model
description
运行ALM资产负债管理模拟,生成组合收益、现金流报告,并通过Smith-Wilson方法校准EIOPA风险自由收益率曲线进行企业债券定价。。
license
Proprietary. See LICENSE.txt in project root.
compatibility
Designed for Doramagic-host ecosystem (Claude Code / openclaw / Cursor). Requires Python 3.12+ with uv package manager.
metadata
{"version":"v6.1","blueprint_id":"finance-bp-077","compiled_at":"2026-04-22T13:00:28.955724+00:00","capability_markets":"global","capability_activities":"macro-data","sop_version":"crystal-compilation-v6.1"}

宏观经济模型 (macro-economic-model)

运行ALM资产负债管理模拟,生成组合收益、现金流报告,并通过Smith-Wilson方法校准EIOPA风险自由收益率曲线进行企业债券定价。

Pipeline

data_collection -> data_storage -> factor_computation -> target_selection -> trading_execution -> visualization

Top Use Cases (13 total)

ALM Portfolio Summary Report Generator (UC-101)

Running a comprehensive Asset-Liability Management (ALM) simulation and visualizing portfolio returns, cash flows, and EIOPA yield curves for a mixed Triggers: ALM simulation, portfolio summary, yield curve visualization

ALM Cash Flow Visualization Dashboard (UC-111)

Creating visual summaries of ALM simulation results including dividend, coupon, liability cash flows, notional returns, and terminal cash flows over t Triggers: cash flow charts, portfolio visualization, ALM reporting

EIOPA Risk-Free Curve Projection and Calibration (UC-102)

Projecting forward interest rates and calibrating the EIOPA risk-free yield curve for long-term insurance liability discounting using Smith-Wilson met Triggers: EIOPA curve, forward rate projection, yield curve calibration

For all 13 use cases, see references/USE_CASES.md.

Execute trigger: When user intent matches intent_router.uc_entries[].positive_terms AND user uses action verb (run/execute/跑/执行/backtest/fetch/collect)

What I'll Ask You

  • Target market: A-share (default), HK, or crypto? (US stocks in ZVT are half-baked — stockus_nasdaq_AAPL exists but coverage is thin)
  • Data source / provider: eastmoney (free, no account), joinquant (account+paid), baostock (free, good history), akshare, or qmt (broker)?
  • Strategy type: MACD golden-cross, MA crossover, volume breakout, fundamental screen, or custom factor?
  • Time range: start_timestamp and end_timestamp for backtest period
  • Target entity IDs: specific stocks (stock_sh_600000) or index components (SZ1000)?

Semantic Locks (Fatal)

ID Rule On Violation
SL-01 Execute sell orders before buy orders in every trading cycle halt
SL-02 Trading signals MUST use next-bar execution (no look-ahead) halt
SL-03 Entity IDs MUST follow format entity_type_exchange_code halt
SL-04 DataFrame index MUST be MultiIndex (entity_id, timestamp) halt
SL-05 TradingSignal MUST have EXACTLY ONE of: position_pct, order_money, order_amount halt
SL-06 filter_result column semantics: True=BUY, False=SELL, None/NaN=NO ACTION halt
SL-07 Transformer MUST run BEFORE Accumulator in factor pipeline halt
SL-08 MACD parameters locked: fast=12, slow=26, signal=9 halt

Full lock definitions: references/LOCKS.md

Top Anti-Patterns (14 total)

  • AP-MACRO-DATA-001: SEC EDGAR Rate Limit Violation
  • AP-MACRO-DATA-002: Temporal Knowledge Graph Look-Ahead Bias
  • AP-MACRO-DATA-003: Technical Indicator Look-Ahead Bias via Missing Shift

All 14 anti-patterns: references/ANTI_PATTERNS.md

Evidence Quality Notice

[QUALITY NOTICE] This crystal was compiled from blueprint finance-bp-077. Evidence verify ratio = 42.6% and audit fail total = 34. Generated results may have uncaptured requirement gaps. Verify critical decisions against source files (LATEST.yaml / LATEST.jsonl).

Reference Files

File Contents When to Load
references/seed.yaml V6+ 全量权威 (source-of-truth) 有行为/决策争议时必读
references/ANTI_PATTERNS.md 14 条跨项目反模式 开始实现前
references/WISDOM.md 跨项目精华借鉴 架构决策时
references/CONSTRAINTS.md domain + fatal 约束 规则冲突时
references/USE_CASES.md 全量 KUC-* 业务场景 需要完整示例时
references/LOCKS.md SL-* + preconditions + hints 生成回测/交易代码前
references/COMPONENTS.md AST 组件地图(按 module 拆分) 查 API 时

Compiled by Doramagic crystal-compilation-v6.1 from finance-bp-077 blueprint at 2026-04-22T13:00:28.955724+00:00. See human_summary.md for non-technical overview.