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Polymarket Analysis

该 Skill 用于 Polymarket 预测市场的多模态分析：通过 Gamma、Data、CLOB 三个公开 API 获取市场行情、价格与用户持仓，识别 Pair Cost 套利（YES+NO<$1）、动量指标、鲸鱼大额交易与情绪信号，并支持脚本化的市场监控告警和钱包画像查询；明确不执行任何交易。

lukebaze
lukebaze
热度 99.50
最近更新 2026-05-11 15:51:03
分类：数据依赖：代码执行 / 第三方 API / 读写文件应用场景：市场分析 / 研究 / 报告撰写 / 财务 ...

安装技能

复制下面的话术发给你的 Agent，它会通过 secure-skills 检索并安装该技能。

执行命令安装此 skill： npx secure-skills-cli add polymarket-analysis
Metadata
name
polymarket-analysis
description
Analyze Polymarket prediction markets for trading edges. Pair Cost arbitrage, whale tracking, sentiment analysis, momentum signals, user profile tracking. No execution.
version
2.1.0

Polymarket Analysis

Identify trading advantages in Polymarket prediction markets through multi-modal analysis.

Scope: Analysis and opportunity identification only. No trade execution.

Modes

Mode Description Reference
Analyze One-time market analysis This file
Monitor 24/7 market monitoring references/market-monitoring-setup.md
Profile Track user wallet positions scripts/fetch-polymarket-user-profile.py

Scripts

# Monitor market for alerts
python3 scripts/monitor-polymarket-market.py <market_url_or_id>

# Fetch user profile/positions
python3 scripts/fetch-polymarket-user-profile.py <wallet_address> [--trades] [--pnl]

Quick Start

Market Analysis

  1. Get market URL from user
  2. Fetch via https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?slug={slug}
  3. Run multi-strategy analysis

User Profile

# From profile URL: polymarket.com/profile/0x...
python3 scripts/fetch-polymarket-user-profile.py 0x7845bc5e15bc9c41be5ac0725e68a16ec02b51b5

Core Strategies

Strategy Description Reference
Pair Cost Arbitrage YES+NO < $1.00 references/pair-cost-arbitrage.md
Momentum RSI, MA signals references/momentum-analysis.md
Whale Tracking Large trades references/whale-tracking.md
Sentiment News/social references/sentiment-analysis.md

Alert Thresholds

Event Threshold
Price change ±5% in 1h
Large trade >$5,000
Pair cost <$0.98
Volume spike >2x avg

APIs

API Base URL Use
Gamma gamma-api.polymarket.com Markets, prices
Data data-api.polymarket.com User positions, trades, P&L
CLOB clob.polymarket.com Order books, trading

See references/polymarket-api.md for full endpoint reference.

References

  • references/polymarket-api.md - API endpoints (Gamma, Data, CLOB)
  • references/market-monitoring-setup.md - 24/7 cron monitoring
  • references/pair-cost-arbitrage.md - Arbitrage detection
  • references/momentum-analysis.md - Technical analysis
  • references/whale-tracking.md - Smart money tracking
  • references/sentiment-analysis.md - Sentiment aggregation