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contribution-analysis

该 Skill 提供基于 Python 的贡献分析方法,先将多个相关变量标准化并做全局因子分析,再通过比较全模型与移除某因子后的 R² 差值,计算各类别对响应变量方差的相对贡献,输出主导因子和贡献百分比,可写入 CSV。

wu-uk
wu-uk
热度 33.41
最近更新 2026-05-11 17:43:29
分类:数据依赖:代码执行 / 读写文件应用场景:数据处理 / 研究 / 报告撰写

安装技能

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执行命令安装此 skill: npx secure-skills-cli add lake-warming-attribution-contribution-analysis
Metadata
name
contribution-analysis
description
Calculate the relative contribution of different factors to a response variable using R² decomposition. Use when you need to quantify how much each factor explains the variance of an outcome.
license
MIT

Contribution Analysis Guide

Overview

Contribution analysis quantifies how much each factor contributes to explaining the variance of a response variable. This skill focuses on R² decomposition method.

Complete Workflow

When you have multiple correlated variables that belong to different categories:

import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler
from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression
from factor_analyzer import FactorAnalyzer

# Step 1: Combine ALL variables into one matrix
pca_vars = ['Var1', 'Var2', 'Var3', 'Var4', 'Var5', 'Var6', 'Var7', 'Var8']
X = df[pca_vars].values
y = df['ResponseVariable'].values

# Step 2: Standardize
scaler = StandardScaler()
X_scaled = scaler.fit_transform(X)

# Step 3: Run ONE global PCA on all variables together
fa = FactorAnalyzer(n_factors=4, rotation='varimax')
fa.fit(X_scaled)
scores = fa.transform(X_scaled)

# Step 4: R² decomposition on factor scores
def calc_r2(X, y):
    model = LinearRegression()
    model.fit(X, y)
    y_pred = model.predict(X)
    ss_res = np.sum((y - y_pred) ** 2)
    ss_tot = np.sum((y - np.mean(y)) ** 2)
    return 1 - (ss_res / ss_tot)

full_r2 = calc_r2(scores, y)

# Step 5: Calculate contribution of each factor
contrib_0 = full_r2 - calc_r2(scores[:, [1, 2, 3]], y)
contrib_1 = full_r2 - calc_r2(scores[:, [0, 2, 3]], y)
contrib_2 = full_r2 - calc_r2(scores[:, [0, 1, 3]], y)
contrib_3 = full_r2 - calc_r2(scores[:, [0, 1, 2]], y)

R² Decomposition Method

The contribution of each factor is calculated by comparing the full model R² with the R² when that factor is removed:

Contribution_i = R²_full - R²_without_i

Output Format

contributions = {
    'Category1': contrib_0 * 100,
    'Category2': contrib_1 * 100,
    'Category3': contrib_2 * 100,
    'Category4': contrib_3 * 100
}

dominant = max(contributions, key=contributions.get)
dominant_pct = round(contributions[dominant])

with open('output.csv', 'w') as f:
    f.write('variable,contribution\n')
    f.write(f'{dominant},{dominant_pct}\n')

Common Issues

Issue Cause Solution
Negative contribution Suppressor effect Check for multicollinearity
Contributions don't sum to R² Normal behavior R² decomposition is approximate
Very small contributions Factor not important May be negligible driver

Best Practices

  • Run ONE global PCA on all variables together, not separate PCA per category
  • Use factor_analyzer with varimax rotation
  • Map factors to category names based on loadings interpretation
  • Report contribution as percentage
  • Identify the dominant (largest) factor