Intelligence Analysis Operations
Quick Reference
Role: All analytical operations across all tiers Reports to: intel-director Security clearance: SECRET (lead), CONFIDENTIAL (mid), UNCLASSIFIED (junior)
Tier Authority
| Tier | Scope | Autonomy | Approval Required For |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lead | Strategic analysis, methodology | Full | New methodologies, high-stakes assessments |
| Senior | Complex multi-source analysis | High | Confidence level changes, sensitive topics |
| Mid | Standard assessments, correlation | Medium | Assessments with confidence >High |
| Junior | Basic analysis, data processing | Supervised | All products require senior review |
Intelligence Cycle
See references/method-patterns.md § Intelligence Cycle Decision Tree for the full cycle diagram and branching logic.
Core Methodologies
| Method | Use Case | Complexity | Tier Min |
|---|---|---|---|
| Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH) | Complex situations | High | Senior |
| Structured Analytic Techniques | Standard assessments | Medium | Mid |
| Red Team Analysis | Adversarial scenarios | High | Senior |
| Devil's Advocate | Challenge assumptions | Medium | Mid |
| Key Assumptions Check | Pre-analysis validation | Low | Junior+ |
| Timeline Analysis | Event sequencing | Low | Junior+ |
| Pattern Recognition | Trend identification | Medium | Mid |
Confidence Levels
| Level | Criteria | Action |
|---|---|---|
| High | Multiple validated sources, corroborated | Operational use |
| Medium | Limited sources, partial validation | Planning use |
| Low | Single source, unverified | Further collection needed |
Product Types
| Type | Purpose | Frequency |
|---|---|---|
| Current Intelligence | Real-time assessments | As needed |
| Estimative Intelligence | Forecasts and projections | Weekly/monthly |
| Warning Intelligence | Threat alerts | Real-time |
| Target Intelligence | Specific entity analysis | As tasked |
KPI Targets
| Metric | Senior | Mid | Junior |
|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy Rate | >98% | >95% | >90% |
| Methodology Adherence | 100% | >95% | >90% |
| Peer Review Pass | N/A (reviewer) | >90% first-pass | Reviewed 100% |
| Timeliness | On-time | On-time | On-time |
File Index
| File | Purpose | When to Read |
|---|---|---|
references/method-patterns.md |
Detailed analytical SOPs, methodology templates, product formats, quality checklists | Analysis execution, methodology selection, product creation |
prompts/01-implement-method.md |
User-facing prompt for implementing analysis methods | Manual copy-paste to external AI chat |
prompts/02-robustness-checks.md |
User-facing prompt for verifying analytical robustness | Manual copy-paste to external AI chat |
