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Gold Fundamental Analysis

调用 Python 脚本从 FRED、CFTC、SPDR ETF、美联储 RSS 与财经日历抓取黄金基本面数据并输出 JSON；随后按美联储政策、通胀、实际收益率、美元指数、ETF 资金流、持仓与事件七大维度分析，生成越南语的看涨/看跌/中性因素、-100 至 +100 基本面评分、短中长期展望与置信度报告，并附风险免责声明。

kimminhpro
kimminhpro
热度 16.02
最近更新 2026-06-15 01:09:18
分类：数据依赖：代码执行 / 第三方 API / 内部调用大模型应用场景：市场分析 / 报告撰写 / 财务 / 数据处理

安装技能

复制下面的话术发给你的 Agent，它会通过 secure-skills 检索并安装该技能。

执行命令安装此 skill： npx secure-skills-cli add gold-fundamental-analysis
Metadata
name
gold-fundamental-analysis
description
Fetches and analyzes gold fundamental data from FRED, CFTC, SPDR ETF, and Fed RSS. Used when the user requests gold fundamental analysis, phân tích cơ bản vàng, or gold macro data. Also used by cron jobs for gold trading sessions (Asian/European/US) that need fundamental context. Returns structured JSON with macro indicators, COT positioning, ETF holdings, Fed stance, and upcoming events. The agent MUST execute the Python script to fetch data, then analyze the output to produce Bullish/Bearish/Neutral factors, a Fundamental Score (-100 to +100), and short/medium/long-term outlook.

Gold Fundamental Analysis Skill

Quick Start

Run the data fetcher script to get all fundamental data:

python3 scripts/get_gold_fundamental_data.py

The script outputs a JSON object with 5 sections. The agent must then analyze this data and produce a structured fundamental report.

Data Sources

Source Data Stability
FRED API Fed rate, CPI, Core CPI, 10Y yield, Real yield, DXY High (stable API)
CFTC COT Managed Money long/short, net position High (public file)
SPDR GLD (SSGA) AUM, NAV, estimated gold tonnes Medium (web scrape)
Fed RSS Monetary policy statements (30-day window) High (RSS feed)
ForexFactory Calendar Upcoming high/medium-impact USD events via faireconomy.media JSON High (public JSON)

Analysis Framework

After fetching data, analyze these 7 pillars:

  1. Fed Policy — Rate direction, FOMC stance. Lower rates = bullish gold.
  2. Inflation — CPI/Core CPI trend. Rising = bullish (gold as hedge).
  3. Real Yield — 10Y TIPS real yield. Falling real yield = bullish gold.
  4. DXY — Dollar index. Weaker dollar = bullish gold.
  5. ETF Flows — SPDR holdings change. Inflows = bullish.
  6. COT Positioning — Managed Money net position. Excess long = contrarian bearish; excess short = contrarian bullish.
  7. Upcoming Events — FOMC, CPI, NFP, etc. High-impact events = volatility ahead.

Output Format

After analysis, the agent must produce this structured output in Vietnamese:

📊 PHÂN TÍCH CƠ BẢN VÀNG
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

🐂 YẾU TỐ TĂNG GIÁ (Bullish):
• ...
• ...

🐻 YẾU TỐ GIẢM GIÁ (Bearish):
• ...
• ...

⚖️ YẾU TỐ TRUNG LẬP:
• ...

📈 ĐIỂM SỐ CƠ BẢN: +XX/-XX / 100
   (thang đo: -100 Bearish cực đoan ↔ +100 Bullish cực đoan)

🔭 TRIỂN VỌNG:
• Ngắn hạn (1-3 ngày): ...
• Trung hạn (1-2 tuần): ...
• Dài hạn (1-3 tháng): ...

🎯 ĐỘ TIN CẬY: XX%

Scoring Guidelines

Calculate Fundamental Score (-100 to +100):

Bullish factors (positive points):

  • Fed rate cut or dovish pivot: +20 to +30
  • CPI declining (disinflation): +10 to +20
  • Real yield falling: +15 to +25
  • DXY weakening: +10 to +15
  • ETF inflows: +10
  • COT net long increasing: +5 to +10

Bearish factors (negative points):

  • Hawkish Fed / rate hike: -20 to -30
  • CPI rising (inflation): -10 to -20
  • Real yield rising: -15 to -25
  • DXY strengthening: -10 to -15
  • ETF outflows: -10
  • COT extreme net long: -5 to -10

Adjustments:

  • COT extreme net short (> -30,000): +10 to +15 (contrarian bullish)
  • COT extreme net long (> +150,000): -10 to -15 (contrarian bearish)
  • Major upcoming event within 3 days: increase magnitude by 20%

Confidence Score

  • 90%+: All data sources successful, clear trend alignment
  • 70-89%: 3-4 sources successful, mostly aligned
  • 50-69%: Mixed signals, some sources missing
  • <50%: <3 sources successful, high uncertainty — WARN the user

Integration Notes

This skill is designed to be used:

  1. On-demand: When user says "phân tích cơ bản vàng", "gold fundamental", etc.
  2. In cron jobs: The 3 daily gold session analyses (Asia, EU, US) should call this script for fundamental data, then combine with MT5 MCP for technical analysis and Financial Astrology skill for astro analysis.
  3. Standalone script: The Python script can be called from any session with full access to all data sources.

FRED API Key

The script uses FRED API key 01fa16f50b07eb27740820fd1cdecf50. Override with --fred-key KEY or FRED_API_KEY env var.