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Polymarket Solana Onchain

该 Skill 通过 Python 脚本读取 Solana 主网 RPC 的 TPS、优先费、Epoch 进度以及 Jupiter 的 24 小时 DEX 交易量，按权重合成多空信号，再经 Simmer SDK 在 Polymarket 等预测市场执行交易；支持仅查看信号、模拟运行与实盘运行，并允许用命令行覆盖仓位上限与信号阈值。

chokle
chokle
热度 32.48
最近更新 2026-05-18 11:38:18
分类：自动化依赖：代码执行 / 第三方 API应用场景：财务 / API 集成 / 自动化脚本 / 市场分析

安装技能

复制下面的话术发给你的 Agent，它会通过 secure-skills 检索并安装该技能。

执行命令安装此 skill： npx secure-skills-cli add polymarket-solana-onchain
Metadata
name
polymarket-solana-onchain
description
Trade Polymarket SOL/crypto prediction markets using live Solana on-chain signals as leading indicators — before price moves. Reads TPS, priority fees, DEX volume, and epoch data from the free public Solana RPC and Jupiter API. No API keys required. Use when trading SOL, BTC, or ETH markets with on-chain data as the signal source.
license
MIT
metadata
{"author":"ComputerByPerplexity","version":"1.0.0","displayName":"Solana On-Chain Signal Trader","difficulty":"intermediate","category":"trading","venue":"polymarket"}

Solana On-Chain Signal Trader 🔗

Trade Polymarket crypto prediction markets using Solana on-chain activity as a leading indicator — not price.

Every other signal on the marketplace uses price data. Price is lagging. On-chain activity moves first.

The insight: When Solana's network is surging — TPS spiking, priority fees rising, DEX volume flooding — it means real demand is happening right now. Price follows. This skill reads those signals from the free public Solana RPC and trades markets before the move shows up in price.

The Four Signals

Signal Source Why It Leads Price
TPS (transactions/sec) Solana mainnet RPC Network congestion = activity surge = price catalyst
Priority fees getRecentPrioritizationFees Users paying extra to jump queue = urgent demand
DEX volume Jupiter stats.jup.ag Real buy/sell pressure before CEX catches up
Epoch progress getEpochInfo Late epoch = validator reward sells; early epoch = stake settling

Composite signal = weighted blend → bullish, neutral, or bearish

No API keys. No paid subscriptions. All free public endpoints.

Requirements

  • SIMMER_API_KEY — your Simmer agent API key
  • simmer-sdk — pip install simmer-sdk
  • requests — pip install requests
  • Optional: SOLANA_RPC_URL to use a private RPC (default: mainnet-beta public)

Configuration

Variable Default Description
SIMMER_API_KEY required Your Simmer API key
TRADING_VENUE sim sim, polymarket, or kalshi
SIMMER_ONCHAIN_MAX_POSITION 20.0 Max USD per trade
SIMMER_ONCHAIN_MAX_TRADES 4 Max trades per run
SIMMER_ONCHAIN_SIGNAL_MIN 0.15 Min composite signal to trade (±0.15)
SOLANA_RPC_URL mainnet-beta public Override with Helius/Triton/QuickNode for lower latency

Usage

# Install
pip install simmer-sdk

# Check current on-chain signals (no trades)
python strategy.py --signals

# Dry run (see what would trade)
python strategy.py

# Live trading
python strategy.py --live

# Tune config
python strategy.py --set max_position_usd=50
python strategy.py --set signal_threshold=0.10

Signal Levels

TPS Range Status Score
> 3,500 Surge +1.0
> 2,500 Elevated +0.6
> 1,500 Normal 0.0
< 1,500 Low −0.5
Priority Fee (µL) Status Score
> 100,000 Surge +1.0
> 10,000 Elevated +0.6
> 1,000 Normal 0.0
< 1,000 Low −0.5
Jupiter 24h Volume Status Score
> $2B Surge +1.0
> $1.2B Elevated +0.6
> $600M Normal 0.0
< $600M Low −0.5

Composite = TPS×0.35 + fee×0.30 + volume×0.25 + epoch×0.10

Trade fires when |composite| > signal_threshold (default ±0.15).

Edge Over Other Skills

Skill Signal Source Lag
Most crypto skills CoinGecko price Lagging
Fast-loop Binance klines Seconds
This skill Solana on-chain RPC Leading

On-chain activity precedes price by minutes to hours. When validators are congested and Jupiter volume is surging, SOL is about to move — and Polymarket hasn't priced it yet.

Remix Ideas

Higher signal quality:

  • Replace public RPC with Helius (free tier) for faster, more reliable data
  • Add getTokenAccountsByOwner on top DEX wallets to detect whale swap activity
  • Track Jito bundle tips as an ultra-high-conviction congestion signal

More markets:

  • Import Kalshi ETH markets and use BTC on-chain as a beta signal
  • Track Ethereum gas fees via eth_gasPrice as a correlated signal for ETH markets
  • Layer in Pyth Network price feeds for sub-second price confirmation

Risk management:

  • Add a trailing stop: if TPS drops from surge to normal mid-session, exit positions
  • Size positions proportionally to signal strength (higher composite = larger bet)

How It Connects to Simmer

Uses the standard Simmer SDK:

  • GET /api/sdk/markets?q=solana&status=active — find target markets
  • GET /api/sdk/context/{market_id} — safeguard checks
  • POST /api/sdk/trade — execute with skill_slug for volume attribution

All trades tagged with skill_slug: polymarket-solana-onchain for performance tracking in your calibration report.

Links